Demography and social economy

CHILDREN OF UKRAINIAN WAR REFUGEES AS A FACTOR IN MAKING A DECISION TO (NOT) RETURN TO THEIR HOMELAND

Olena Malynovska — 2026-10-31

The large-scale forced migration of the Ukrainian population caused by the full-scale war has brought the issue of citizens’ return after the end or de-escalation of hostilities to the forefront. In this context, the role of children has become particularly significant, as their educational, social, and psychological needs increasingly shape family migration strategies. The purpose of the article is to assess the impact of children on the return intentions of Ukrainian war refugees, identify the key factors influencing family decisions regarding the return to Ukraine, and substantiate policy recommendations aimed at facilitating the repatriation and reintegration of families with children. The scientific novelty of the study lies in the comprehensive analysis of children as an independent factor influencing the return or non-return of Ukrainian war refugees and in identifying mechanisms for incorporating their needs into the development of state return policies. The research employs comparative, statistical, and analytical methods, as well as the method of generalization. It is based on the analysis of statistical data provided by international organizations, findings of sociological surveys of Ukrainian refugees, and international experience in the reintegration of returnee children. The study demonstrates that the longer children remain abroad and the deeper their integration into the host country’s educational system, social environment, and linguistic and cultural space, the lower the likelihood of their families returning to Ukraine. At the same time, the successful adaptation of children after return largely determines the sustainability of family repatriation and reduces the risk of repeated emigration. The findings suggest that an effective state return policy should include comprehensive measures to prepare children for re-emigration, support Ukrainian education abroad, preserve the Ukrainian language and national identity, and establish an effective system of educational, linguistic, psychological, and social support for returnee children in Ukraine. The practical significance of the study lies in the possibility of applying its findings to improve Ukraine’s migration, educational, and social policies aimed at encouraging the return of displaced citizens and ensuring the successful reintegration of families with children.

REFERENCES / ЛІТЕРАТУРА

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20. Grosa, D. (2022). Anxieties Regarding Family Return to Latvia: Does the Imagined Turn Out to Be Reality?. Central and Eastern European Migration Review, 11 (2), 155—171. https://doi.org/10.54667/ceemr.2022.17

21. Grosa, D., & King, R. (2022). The Challenges of Educational Reintegration and the Psychosocial Wellbeing of Returnee Children: Evidence from Latvia. Journal of International Migration and Integration. Revue de l integration et de la migration internationale, 24 (S2), 407—426. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-022-00960-3

RESILIENCE OF OLDER UKRAINIAN REFUGEES IN GERMANY: RESULTS OF AN EXPLORATORY STUDY

Nataliia Rynhach — 2026-10-31

The ongoing large-scale war, in addition to posing a direct threat to life, has forced millions of Ukrainians to live under conditions of acute and chronic stress, which adversely affects both physical and mental health and significantly reduces individual resilience. While all people are exposed to stress to varying degrees, certain socio-demographic groups are relatively more vulnerable due to factors such as age, health status, and life circumstances, including forced migration, or the combined effect of multiple adverse conditions. Changes in resilience and their impact on health are difficult to measure objectively; therefore, surveybased approaches relying on subjective self-assessment are of particular importance.

Despite the impossibility of eliminating stressors in wartime conditions, it remains crucial to assess individuals’ resilience, their ability to withstand adverse factors and recover after their impact ceases, in order to adequately evaluate the situation within specific population groups and to develop targeted interventions aimed at strengthening resilience. The aim of this study was to assess the level of resilience (stress resistance) among Ukrainian citizens aged 60 years and older (n = 53) who were granted temporary protection in Germany under conditions of prolonged war-related stress, as well as to identify age- and gender-related characteristics of adaptive capacity to stress factors. The analysis was based on data obtained using the Brief Resilience Scale (BRS) from Ukrainian citizens aged 60 years and older who were residing in Germany under temporary protection status at the time of the study (January—February 2026). For comparison, data from a focus group of younger Ukrainian refugees aged 20—59 years (n = 12), as well as residents of the Chernivtsi region (n = 14) aged 60 years and older who have remained in Ukraine since the beginning of the war, were also included. The findings indicate a low level of resilience among Ukrainian refugees in Germany. The average score reflecting respondents’ self-assessment of their reactions to stress, their ability to cope with difficulties and return to normal functioning after adverse events was 2.5 points. A slight age-related variation was observed: lower resilience scores were found in the younger subgroup (60–69 years: 2.3 points) compared to respondents aged 70 years and older (2.8 points). Gender differences were also identified: across all age subgroups, men temporarily residing in Germany rated their resilience higher than women (2.9 vs. 2.3 points, respectively). Similarly, men aged 60 and older residing in the Chernivtsi region also reported higher resilience levels compared to women (3.0 vs. 2.2 points, respectively). Objective limitations in achieving a representative sample determined the exploratory nature of the study. Nevertheless, the obtained results are consistent with findings from other studies in this field, which supports their validity. The Brief Resilience Scale (BRS) can be recommended as a practical tool for rapid assessment of resilience-related resources, as well as for the development and strengthening of resilience in individuals and groups. The results may also be used to monitor changes over time and to evaluate the effectiveness of interventions.

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(NOT) A MAN’S BUSINESS?! UKRAINIAN MEN’S MIGRATION ABROAD DURING THE FULL-SCALE INVASION

Iryna Maidanik — 2026-10-31

The migration of Ukrainians abroad during the full-scale war is taking place amid restrictions on men of draft age crossing the state border. This has significantly influenced the structure of forced migration from Ukraine throughout the years of the war, though it does not fully determine it. The aim of this article is to provide a comprehensive analysis of the forced migration of Ukrainian men abroad and to determine its place within the overall structure of forced migration from Ukraine. The scientific novelty of the article lies in the development of a comprehensive empirical profile of Ukrainian male forced migrants, the identification of their socio-demographic, economic, and behavioral characteristics, and the identification of trends in their evolution throughout the full-scale war. The study employs a range of scientific methods: sampling surveys, analysis and synthesis, generalization, grouping, and comparison. The study is based on empirical data collected during four waves of surveys of for ced migrants from Ukraine abroad (excluding Russia and Belarus), carried out on behalf of the Center for Economic Strategy in 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025—2026. Each survey wave covered 1,000 respondents. It was found that over the course of the full-scale war, the gender composition of Ukrainian forced migrants abroad has undergone significant changes. In the first wave of the survey (2022), men accounted for 16.2% of Ukrainians abroad, while by early 2026, this share had increased to 41.7%. Asymmetries were identified in the demographic composition of forced migrants by gender, particularly with regard to age and the number of children. Among men, there was a relatively higher proportion of individuals in younger and older age groups who, at the time of leaving Ukraine, were either not yet subject to or were no longer subject to mobilization restrictions. There was also a higher proportion of fathers with three or more children. Male forced migrants exhibit a higher level of socioeconomic integration in their host countries than women. They are more likely to have established social ties, live with family members, and occupy more favorable positions in the labor market. Specifically, they are more likely to be self-employed, work in their field of specialization, or hold jobs that correspond to or exceed their previous level of qualification. Changes in return intentions were identified by gender. At the initial stage of the fullscale war, no statistically significant gender differences in intentions to return to Ukraine were observed; however, these differences became increasingly pronounced over time. The latest survey wave showed that men were significantly more likely than women to associate their future with living abroad. The findings highlight the importance of incorporating gen derspecific considerations into the development of Ukraine’s migration policy, particularly policies aimed at the return and reintegration of forced migrants. They may also be used to forecast the migration behaviour of Ukrainian forced migrants and to assess their return potential after the end of the war.

ЛІТЕРАТУРА/ REFERENCES

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3. Kogan, I., Kosyakova, Y., & Tubergen, F. V. (2025). Staying, Leaving, or Returning? Conflict Resolution Preferences and Migration among Ukrainian Women. Studies of Transition States and Societies, 17, 117—145. https://doi.org/10.58036/stss.v17i0.1336

4. Maxwell, C., Leybenson, M., & Yemini, M. (2024). Managing protracted displacement: How anchoring shapes ‘agency-in-waiting’ among middle-class Ukrainian female refu gees in Berlin. International Sociology, 39 (4), 445—461. https://doi.org/10.1177/02685809241252102

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6. Kogan, I., & Kosyakova, Y. (2025). Cherchez l’homme? The wartime migration of men in Ukraine: Research note. Journal of International Migration and Integration, 27 (1), 287— 302. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-025-01297-3

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10. Centre for Economic Strategy (2023). Refugees from Ukraine: who are they, how many are there, and how can they be returned? https://ces.org.ua/who-are-ukrainian-refugeeresearch/

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11. Centre for Economic Strategy (2023). Refugees from Ukraine: Who Are They, How Many Are There, and How Can They Be Repatriated? The Second Wave of the Survey. https:// ces.org.ua/refugees-from-ukraine-ukr-final-report/

[Центр економічної стратегії (2023). Біженці з України: хто вони, скільки їх та як їх повернути? Друга хвиля дослідження].

12. Centre for Economic Strategy (2024). Ukrainian refugees: Future abroad and plans for return. The third wave of the survey. https://ces.org.ua/ukrainian_refugees_third_wave_ research/

[Центр економічної стратегії (2024). Українські біженці. Майбутнє за кордоном та плани на повернення. Третя хвиля дослідження].

13. Centre for Economic Strategy (2025). Ukrainian refugees after three years abroad: the fourth wave of the survey. https://ces.org.ua/refugees_fourth_wave/

[Центр економічної стратегії (2025). Українські біженці після трьох років за кордоном. Четверта хвиля дослідження].

14. Centre for Economic Strategy (2026). Ukrainian Refugees After Four Years Abroad. The Fifth Wave of the Survey. https://ces.org.ua/ukrainian-refugees-fifth-wave/

[Центр економічної стратегії (2026). Українські біженці після чотирьох років за кордоном. П’ята хвиля дослідження].

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TRANSFORMATION OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN UKRAINE DURING THE RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN WAR: CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS FOR RECOVERY

Oleksandr Parkhomenko — 2026-10-31

This study examines the transformation of demographic processes in Ukraine under the conditions of the russian-ukrainian war and assesses its impact on demographic security, human capital, and the prospects for the country’s post-war recovery. Extensive human losses, large-scale forced external and internal migration, declining fertility, increasing mortality, deterioration of the population’s age structure, and the reduction of labour potential have intensified demographic challenges and highlighted the need for a comprehensive assessment of contemporary demographic transformations and the development of an effective state demographic policy. The aim of the study is to provide a comprehensive assessment of the transformation of demographic processes in Ukraine under the impact of the russian-ukrainian war and to substantiate the priority directions for post-war demographic recovery. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the integrated analysis of the interrelationships between natural population change, forced migration, war-related population losses, and spatial demographic transformations based on international statistical data and a comparative assessment of the post-conflict demographic experience of Serbia. The research methodology combines retrospective analysis with systems, statistical, comparative-geographical, cartographic, and forecasting methods, enabling a comprehensive evaluation of the scale of the demographic crisis and the identification of potential recovery pathways. The findings indicate that the war has significantly accelerated depopulation, intensified distortions in the age and sex structure of the population, caused a large-scale outflow of people of reproductive and working age, and deepened regional demographic disparities. A comparative analysis with Serbia demonstrates that the demographic consequences of armed conflicts persist for decades after the cessation of hostilities, affecting population dynamics, labour resources, and socio-economic development. Based on the United Nations population projections to 2050, the study identifies possible demographic scenarios for Ukraine and assesses the risks of continued population decline. The paper substantiates the priority directions of state demographic policy aimed at facilitating the return of forcibly displaced persons, supporting fertility, preserving human capital, strengthening family policy, integrating war veterans, improving the healthcare system, and implementing a comprehensive demographic resilience policy as a key component of Ukraine’s post-war recovery.

REFERENCES / ЛІТЕРАТУРА

1. Population Europe (2023). Depopulation in Ukraine: Low fertility, high mortality and emigration. CPC. https://population-europe.eu/research/books-and-reports/depopulationukraine-low-fertility-high-mortality-and-emigration

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[Державна служба статистики України (2026)].

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[Youtube (2026). Лібанова: міграція. Є три загрози. 5 млн українців виїхали з країни. Чи вийде повернути людей?].

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[Напорчук, Д. (2024). Демографічні фактори як складова економічної безпеки України в умовах воєнного стану: виклики та загрози. Modeling the Development of the Economic Systems, 4, 145—150].

8. Lytvynchuk, O., & Yurkivsky, A. (2023). Migration processes in Ukraine: threats in the conditions of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Economics, Management and Administration, 2 (104), 71—78. https://doi.org/10.26642/ema-2023-2(104)-71-78

[Литвинчук, О. В., & Юрківський, О. Й. (2023). Міграційні процеси в Україні: загрози в умовах російсько-української війни. Економіка, управління та адміністрування, 2 (104), 71—78].

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[Державна служба статистики України (2026). Населення та міграція].

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[Організація Об’єднаних Націй в Україні (2025). Комісія ООН: депортація та примусове переміщення українських дітей російською владою, а також їхні насильницькі зникнення є злочинами проти людяності].

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SOCIAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC SECURITY OF UKRAINE UNDER WAR CONDITIONS AND THE RISKS OF MIGRATION-DRIVEN HUMAN CAPITAL DEPLETION

Volodymyr Velychko — 2026-10-31

The relevance of the study is due to the scale of war migration and its long-term impact on the demographic reproduction, labor potential, and human capital of Ukraine. Migration losses become structural in nature and form risks for the socio-demographic security of the state. The article is aimed at studying the impact of war migration on the socio-demographic security of Ukraine by determining the structure of migration flows, assessing the main channels of human capital losses and substantiating scenarios for the return of the population. The methodological basis of the study is systemic and structural-functional approaches, conceptual-indicative modeling, the method of minimax normalization, scenario, statistical, comparative, and graphical analysis. The information base is formed on the basis of official data of international and national institutions on internal and external forced migration of Ukraine.

The scientific novelty lies in the development of a model of the impact of war migration on socio-demographic security, which combines the intensity of migration processes, the loss of human capital, the potential for the return of the population, and the institutional capacity of its reintegration, as well as in the structuring of the main channels of human capital losses. According to the results of the study, it has been established that military migration forms a multi-channel structure of population movement, which includes internal displacement, external forced migration, pre-war labor mobility, and forced displacement of the population from the occupied territories. The selective nature of migration losses associated with the departure of the economically active population, youth, children and highly qualified specialists has been revealed, which creates long-term risks for the labor market, demographic reproduction, and restoration of human capital.

The main conclusion is that the prospects for socio-demographic stability of Ukraine will be determined not only by the scale of migration losses, but also by the potential for return and reintegration of the population. Three scenarios have been identified: restorative repatriation, partial asymmetric repatriation, and structural non-return. The need to move from a predominantly compensatory response to demographic losses to a policy of return, reintegration, and circulation of human capital has been substantiated.

REFERENCES / ЛІТЕРАТУРА

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[Петрівський, О. (2025). Демографічна ситуація в україні: перспективи виходу з кризи та мінімізація її впливу на розвиток економіки країни. Економіка та суспільство, 77].

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[Остра, В. А., & Яворська, В. В. (2025). Демографічна криза та міграційні процеси: взаємозв’язок та наслідки для соціально-економічного розвитку. Вісник Одеського національного університету. Географічні та геологічні науки, 30 (1(46), 147—159].

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8. Bazhenova, О. В., Varnalyy, З. С., & Cheberyako, О. В. (2023). Human Social Security Under Military Aggression Conditions: Indicators and Evaluation (Case of Ukraine). Problems of Modern Transformations. Series: Economics and Management, 8. https://doi. org/10.54929/2786-5738-2023-8-07-02

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THE ROLE OF WORKPLACE COMMUNICATION, PROJECT AND TIME MANAGEMENT IN BUILDING SOCIAL CAPITAL OF EARLYCAREER HEALTHCARE PROFESSIONALS

Yurii Petrashyk — 2026-10-31

The contemporary global healthcare sector is confronting a critical, systemic challenge regarding the retention of early-career professionals. This specific demographic is highly susceptible to “transition shock” and premature labor attrition, driven by intense clinical demands and complex organizational environments. While baseline compensation and generalized job satisfaction have been exhaustively studied, the structural operational competencies — specifi cally, workplace communication culture, personal project management, and time management — are increasingly recognized as the foundational elements required to build the social capital necessary to embed and retain clinical staff. This challenge is acutely magnified in conflict zones, such as Ukraine, where systemic fragilities, mass displacement, and wartime infrastructure disruptions exacerbate occupational burnout and force mass labor migration.

This study aims to build a practical framework showing how hospital leadership and operational structures can help build social capital, reduce burnout, and keep early-career healthcare workers from quitting, looking closely at how these strategies apply to the crisis-affected Ukrainian health system. Instead of just looking at higher pay or personal resilience to keep staff, the article combines a few different fields that usually aren’t studied together. It considers big-picture workplace social capital and psychological safety with everyday, practical skills borrowed from the corporate world, specifically, personal project management and time management, to create a new way of looking at staff retention in both normal and crisis settings. The study employs a narrative (analytical) literature review rather than a systematic metaana lysis. It critically synthesizes empirical findings, theoretical models, and statistical results reported in international peer-reviewed publications on organizational socialization, psychological safety climates, and clinical operational workflows, integrating them into a comprehensive, multi-level conceptual framework for healthcare workforce retention. The authors substantiate how feeling psychologically safe and having open communication with leaders help new staff feel rooted in their jobs; propose treating daily clinical work like manageable projects and using time-management techniques to lower mental strain; and identify how the lack of clear crisis communication in Ukrainian hospitals might force staff into a “sacrificial” role that speeds up burnout.

The findings clearly show that strong workplace social capital and a longer, more supportive onboarding process lead to lower turnover. Giving new staff the tools to manage their time and treat clinical tasks as projects help protect them from emotional exhaustion. For the Ukrainian health system, setting up proper crisis communication and better daily workflows isn’t just a management bonus — it is critical to keeping the medical workforce intact. Healthcare institutions must transcend traditional, isolated orientation events and adopt sustained, multi-level retention strategies. Fostering a robust communication culture, instituting operational design that treats clinical workflows as manageable projects, and providing rigorous time-management frameworks are essential prerequisites to cultivating social capital, mitigating burnout, and securing the long-term stability and efficacy of the healthcare workforce.

REFERENCES / ЛІТЕРАТУРА

1. Ho, S. S., Stenhouse, R., & Snowden, A. (2021). ‘It was quite a shock’: A qualitative study of the impact of organisational and personal factors on newly qualified nurses’ experiences. Journal of Clinical Nursing, 30 (15—16), 2373—2385. https://doi.org/10.1111/ jocn.15777

2. Strömgren, M., Eriksson, A., Bergman, D., & Dellve, L. (2016). Social capital among healthcare professionals: A prospective study of its importance for job satisfaction, work engagement and engagement in clinical improvements. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 53, 116—125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2015.07.012

3. Oksanen, T., Kawachi, I., Kouvonen, A., Takao, S., Suzuki, E. … & Vahtera, J. (2013). Workplace determinants of social capital: cross-sectional and longitudinal evidence from a Finnish cohort study. PLoS One, 8 (6), e65846. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0065846

4. Cho, H., Steege, L. M., & Arsenault Knudsen, É. N. (2023). Psychological safety, communication openness, nurse job outcomes, and patient safety in hospital nurses. Research in Nursing & Health, 46 (4), 445—453. https://doi.org/10.1002/nur.22327

5. Hessler, K. L., Anderson, G., Scannell, M., McNair, B., & Becker, M. (2025). Leadership Strategies to Increase Psychological Safety of Nurses: A Longitudinal Study. Quality Management in Health Care, 34 (1), 46—54. https://doi.org/10.1097/QMH.0000000000000453

6. Chiocchio, F., Rabbat, F., & Lebel, P. (2015). Multi-level efficacy evidence of a combined interprofessional collaboration and project management training program for healthcare project teams. Project Management Journal, 46 (4), 20—34. https://doi.org/10.1002/ pmj.21507

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13. Pestovska, Z. S. (2024). Time management in personnel management: eu experience for ukrainian enterprises. Economic Scope, 195, 182—186. https://doi.org/10.30838/EP.195.182-186

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15. Hebles, M., Trincado-Munoz, F., & Ortega, K. (2022). Stress and Turnover Intentions Within Healthcare Teams: The Mediating Role of Psychological Safety, and the Moderating Effect of COVID-19 Worry and Supervisor Support. Frontiers in Psychology, 12, 758438. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.758438

16. Varma, R., & Hastings, B. (2023). Keeping the frogs in the wheelbarrow: how virtual onboarding creates positive team-enabling cultures. BMJ Leader, 7 (4), 298—300. https:// doi.org/10.1136/leader-2022-000665

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20. Yavorovsky, O. P., Skaletsky, Y. M., Brukhno, R. P., Ivanko, O. V., Kravchenko, S. V. … & Kozak, N. D. (2023). Comparative analysis of patient safety culture dynamics in Ukraine and the USA healthcare facilities reference to establishing safe hospital environment. Clinical and Preventive Medicine, (6), 113—120. https://doi.org/10.31612/2616-4868.6.2023.14

[Яворовський, О. П., Скалецький, Ю. М., Брухно, Р. П., Іванько, О. В., Кравчен - ко, С. В. … & Козак, Н. Д. (2023). Порівняльний аналіз динаміки стану культури безпеки пацієнтів у лікарняних закладах України та США в контексті формування безпечного лікарняного середовища. Клінічна та профілактична медицина, 6, 113—120].

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[Нефьодов, О., Діброва, С., & Улька, О. (2025). Трансформація публічного управління у сфері охорони здоров’я: етичний та комунікаційний виміри. Вісник Дніпровської академії неперервної освіти. Серія: Публічне управління та адміністру вання, 9 (2), 41—49].

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25. Zaheer, S., Ginsburg, L., Wong, H. J., Thomson, K., Bain, L., & Wulffhart, Z. (2019). Turnover intention of hospital staff in Ontario, Canada: exploring the role of frontline supervisors, teamwork, and mindful organizing. Human Resources for Health, 17 (1), 66. https:// doi.org/10.1186/s12960-019-0404-2

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27. Zvonar, V.P. (2017). Smart-community as a socio-economic phenomenon. Demography and Social Economy, 3 (31), 76—88. https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2017.03.076 [Звонар, В.П. (2017). Smart-громада як соціально-економічний феномен. Демографія та соціальна економіка, 3 (31), 76—88].

28. Volosovets, O. P., Diachuk, D. D., Lurin, I. A., Naumenko, O. M., Parii, V. D., & Volosovets, A. O. (2025). Human resources of healthcare in Ukraine during the COVID-19 pandemic and war. Clinical and Preventive Medicine, (1), 117—131. https://doi. org/10.31612/2616-4868.1.2025.15

[Волосовець, О. П., Дячук, Д. Д., Лурін, І. А., Науменко, О. М., Парій, В. Д., & Волосовець, А. О. (2025). Кадрові ресурси охорони здоров’я України у роки пандемії COVID-19 та війни. Клінічна та профілактична медицина, 1, 117—131].

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BEHAVIORAL INFLUENCE CHANNELS IN EDUCATION: CONCEPTUALIZATION AND PRACTICAL POTENTIAL

Oksana Khmelevska — 2026-10-31

The purpose of the article is to identify and substantiate the behavioral influence channels on the population’s adoption of educational decisions, which will allow to specify the directions and content of behavioral interventions in the formation of policies and practices in education at the stage of post-war reconstruction of Ukraine. The relevance of the work is due to the increasing impact of uncertainty on educational decisions and population behavior in the conditions of a prolonged war. The methodological basis of the study is a combination of interdisciplinary, systemic, and behavioral intervention-oriented approaches; general scientific and special methods were used, including structural-logical generalization, desk-based content analysis, and system analysis.

The generalization of interdisciplinary sources of recent decades has made it possible to: outline the main advantages of the behavioral approach as a general methodological framework for taking into account the patterns of human behavior; highlight the most recognized models of behavior change in international practice; identify factors and features of human behavior that should be taken into account when determining behavioral influence channels; substantiate these channels from the standpoint of classical and behavioral economics, as well as other behavioral sciences; select examples of international practices and cases that have the potential for implementation in Ukraine within the framework of the relevant behavioral influence channels in the field of education. The novelty of the work lies in the identification of five behavioral influence channels, i.e. areas of educational behavior of the population and related educational decisions, which can be targeted by behavioral interventions: 1. Educational and professional choice (more balanced choice of educational institution, future profession, etc.); 2. Behavior in the learning process (supporting motivation, orientation towards academic success); 3. Participation in education and educational trajectory (main stages of participation in education and educational transitions); 4. Acquisition and updating of skills, competencies (formation of readiness for lifelong learning and other aspects); 5. Gender perceptions in educational and professional orientation (modernization of ideas about educational, professional and career opportunities, overcoming gender stereotypes and related self-limitations of educational and professional choice). The use of such an approach makes it possible to take into account behavioral-activity, motivational-cognitive, value-worldview and competence-adaptive aspects of educational behavior and related decisions. A logical scheme of the relationship of behavioral influence with the stages of the behavioral process is also proposed.

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22. OECD (2025). Advancing Adult Skills through Individual Learning Accounts: A Step-byStep Guide for Policymakers. Getting Skills Right. OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi. org/10.1787/08e1bdaf-en

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25. Ionkova, Kremena M.; Tomio, Andrea Ailin; Roy, Emma De; Yadav, Sonakshi; Kaza, Silpa; & Karver, Jonathan George et al. (2024). Behavior Change in Solid Waste Management — A Compendium of Cases (English). eMBeD Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099091423124016666

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INTERSECTORAL CONSOLIDATION TO ACCELERATE COMMUNITY COHESION PROCESSES IN UKRAINE

Olena Sova — 2026-10-31

The relevance of the study is driven by the need to search for new effective mechanisms for adapting Ukrainian territorial communities to large-scale military and socio-economic shocks. Traditional approaches to community management are losing their effectiveness, requiring the consolidation of efforts of all local stakeholders. The aim of the article is to substantiate the theoretical and practical foundations of intersectoral cooperation and to develop a step-by-step mechanism of coordinated actions by local development actors to accelerate community cohesion and preserve their human potential.

An assessment of the financial capacity of a sample of communities in the Kyiv region confirmed the deepening of structural polarization and interregional disparities among domestic territories. A deep gap was identified between high-capacity communities that accumulate human capital and carry out capital reconstruction of the environment, and vulnerable territories where the consumption (“eating up”) of resources and spending the bulk of the budget on maintaining the administrative apparatus become the key destructive elements. Despite the gradual revival of entrepreneurial activity and the growth of local budgets’ own revenues, local financial stability remains precarious due to the rapid spread of budget deficits, the scale of destruction, and high unemployment rates. The article substantiates the conceptual foundations of coordinated cooperation aimed at increasing the resilience of territorial communities amid security, demographic, and economic challenges. Based on institutional analysis, the competencies of four key actors are delineated: local government bodies (management center), business entities (economic base), scientific institutions (analytical expertise), and residents (source of social capital). A phased framework for joint actions has been developed, ensuring a consistent path from diagnosing local problems to implementing joint projects and conducting a final assessment of their impact on public wellbeing. The practical value of the proposed approach lies in optimizing the use of internal community potential and eliminating contradictions among management participants.

REFERENCES / ЛІТЕРАТУРА

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[Бондар, В. Д. (2025). Стійкість територіальних громад в Україні: безпековий підхід. Державне управління: удосконалення та розвиток, 9].

3. Libanova, Е. (2023). On the post-war revival of Ukraine. Visn. Nac. Akad. Nauk Ukr., 2, 55—61. https://doi.org/10.15407/visn2023.02.055

[Лібанова, Е. М. (2023). Щодо повоєнного відродження України. Вісник НАН України, 2, 55—61].

4. Zaiats, T., Diakonenko, O., & Sova, O. (2024). The impact of non-governmental organizations on the resilience potential of territorial communities in Ukraine. In: Development through Research and Innovation — 2024: Proceedings of the 5th International Scientific Conference. SEP ASEM. Р. 367—378. https://doi.org/10.53486/dri2024.42

5. Herasyk, D., & Matvieieva, О. (2024). The Formation of Social Capital as a Key Factor in Implementing the Concept of Sustainable Development for Territorial Communities in Ukraine During Wartime. Public Administration Aspects, 12 (4), 5—12. https://doi. org/10.15421/152442

[Герасик, Д., & Матвеєва, О. (2024). Формування соціального капіталу як ключовий фактор реалізації концепції сталого розвитку територіальних громад України в умовах війни. Аспекти публічного управління, 12 (4), 5—12].

6. Sánchez-Soriano, M., Arango-Ramírez, P. M., Pérez-López, E .I., & García-Montalvo, I. A. (2024). Inclusive governance: empowering communities and promoting social justice. Front. Polit. Sci., 6, 1478126. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpos.2024.1478126

7. Feinberg, A., Ghorbani, A., & Herder, P. M. (2023). Commoning toward urban resilience: The role of trust, social cohesion, and involvement in a simulated urban commons setting. Journal of Urban Affairs, 45(2), 142—167. https://doi.org/10.1080/07352166.2020.1851139

8. Thornton, T. E., Knox, C. C., Lopez-Littleton, V., & Hall, J. L. (2023). The nexus between emergency management, public health, and equity: Responding to crisis, and mitigating future hazards. Public Admin Rev, 83, 1166—1169. https://doi.org/10.1111/puar.13712

9. Osei-Kyei, R., Narbaev, T., Ampratwum, G., & Ke, Y. (2026). Critical strategies for building urban community resilience through public-private partnerships: a system dynamics modelling. International Journal of Construction Management, 1—19. https://doi.org/10.1 080/15623599.2026.2641179

10. Koekkoek, A., Kleinhans, R., & van Ham, M. (2024). University-community engagement in the Netherlands: blurring the lines between personal values, societal expectations, and marketing. Front. Educ., 9, 1005693. https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2024.1005693

11. Ilieva-Trichkova, P., Boyadjieva, P., & Dimitrova, R. (2024). Higher education as a public good and social cohesion: an exploratory study from a European comparative perspective. European Journal of Higher Education, 14 (sup1), 69—87. https://doi.org/10.1080/215682 35.2024.2403605

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13. ІCC Ministry of Social Policy. (2026). Internally displaced persons. https://www.ioc.gov. ua/analytics/dashboard-vpo

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[Міжнародна організація з міграції (2023). Звіт про внутрішнє переміщення населення в Україні. Раунд 15].

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WAR, DEINSTITUTIONALISATION, EUROPEAN INTEGRATION: MULTIFACTOR PRESSURE ON THE CHILD SOCIAL PROTECTION SYSTEM IN UKRAINE

Anna Omelchuk — 2026-10-31

War is the primary factor of direct pressure on the child social protection system in Ukraine, whereas the unfinished deinstitutionalisation reform and the European integration trajectory are processes whose course is reshaped by the war and converges at the level of territorial communities. The article argues that these three factors are not symmetric: war reshapes the pace and content of the other two, while existing policy frameworks still treat them as separate agendas. The empirical analysis draws on five secondary data sources: UNICEF TransMonEE Regional Database (residential care, alternative care, and adoption indi cators for 2024); IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix Ukraine (Round 20, April 2025, and the full time series from February 2022 to March 2026 covering 46 measurement rounds); Eurostat EU-SILC and ESSPROS databases (child poverty and family/children social protection expenditure); BOOST Ukraine public expenditure database by the World Bank and the Ministry of Finance (revenues of state and local budgets, 2018—2025); and the UNICEF ECARO mapping of national child rights indicator sets (2026). The analytical strategy combines indirect cross-country benchmarking, intra-country regional comparison, and time series decomposition into pre-war, active-war, and late-war phases. Findings reveal three structural tensions. First, despite the deinstitutionalisation reform launched in 2017, Ukraine ranks second in the region by the rate of children in formal alternative care (2 001 per 100 000), with 42 988 children in residential institutions in 2024 and only 57% of children in alternative care placed in family-based settings — in contrast to the officially reported 93.5%, which applies only to a narrower category of orphaned and deprived children. Second, internal displacement is not stabilising: after a temporary decrease in 2024, the number of de-facto present IDPs grew again to 3.86 million by March 2026, with five receiving oblasts absorbing 52% of the total. The estimated number of displaced children (771—887 thousand) is lower than the official Ministry of Social Policy registry figure of 906 thousand, which suggests systematic overestimation in the registration data. Third, the share of local budgets in total public revenues fell from 44.2% in 2018 to 17.7% in 2025, creating a de facto fiscal recentralisation that weakens the capacity of frontline and receiving communities to deliver social services for children. The article proposes a four-dimensional framework for assessing community capacity in child social protection — personnel, financial, organisational, and service dimensions — grounded in the UNICEF child protection systems strengthening approach and in the local capacity concept from comparative decentralisation studies. The framework operationalises the concept of capacity in a way that accommodates the parallel pressures of war, deinstitutionalisation, and European integration, and integrates Ukraine’s position within European benchmarks.

REFERENCES / ЛІТЕРАТУРА

1. Goldman, P. S., Bakermans-Kranenburg, M. J., Bradford, B., Christopoulos, A., Ken, P. L. A., & … Sonuga-Barke, E. J. S. (2020). Institutionalisation and deinstitutionalisation of children 2: Policy and practice recommendations for global, national, and local actors. The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health, 4 (8), 606—633. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352- 4642(20)30060-2

2. Petrowski, N., Cappa, C., & Gross, P. (2017). Estimating the number of children in formal alternative care: Challenges and results. Child Abuse and Neglect, 70, 388—398. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chiabu.2016.11.026

3. Johnson, R., Browne, K. D., & Hamilton-Giachritsis, C. (2006). Young children in in stitutional care at risk of harm. Trauma, Violence, and Abuse, 7 (1), 34—60. https://doi. org/10.1177/1524838005283696

4. Chernysh, O. A., Zhalinska, I. V., & Pryshchepa, Ye. V. (2023). Institutional Provision of Child Welfare in Ukraine and Sweden. National Technical University of Ukraine Jour nal. Political science. Sociology. Law, 4 (60), 21—26. https://doi.org/10.20535/2308- 5053.2023.4(60).296973

5. Bürgin, D., Anagnostopoulos, D., Vitiello, B., Sukale, T., Schmid, M., & Fegert, J. M. (2022). Impact of war and forced displacement on children’s mental health — multilevel, needs-oriented, and trauma-informed approaches. European Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 31 (6), 845—853. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00787-022-01974-z

6. Goto, R., Pinchuk, I., Kolodezhny, O., Pimenova, N., Kano, Y., & Skokauskas, N. (2024). Mental health of adolescents exposed to the war in Ukraine. JAMA Pediatrics, 178 (5), 480—488. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2024.0295

7. Pinchuk, I., Leventhal, B. L., Ladyk-Bryzghalova, A., Lien, L., Yachnik, & … Skokauskas, N. (2024). The Lancet Psychiatry Commission on mental health in Ukraine. The Lancet Psychiatry, 11 (11), 910—933. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2215-0366(24)00241-4

8. Seleznova, V., Pinchuk, I., Feldman, I., Virchenko, V., Wang, B., & Skokauskas, N. (2023). The battle for mental well-being in Ukraine: Mental health crisis and economic aspects. International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 17, Article 28. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13033-023-00598-3

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